Readers of this blog and listeners to our podcast know that I love box office numbers. I’ve also recently become intrigued by the Good Judgment project after hearing about them on the Freakonomics podcast. Their website has a number of political, news, and pop culture questions they invite the public to predict and they recently asked what were the chances that Civil War would outgross Batman v. Superman (which brought in an amazing $166M on opening weekend).
I was surprised to see so many people saying Civil War would outgross Batsoup with almost not thought into the matter, so I decided to make my own prediction and analysis. Jump after the break to read why I think it is unlikely for Civil War to beat Batsoup and let me know your thoughts in the comments.